DLTR

DLTR

USD

Dollar Tree Inc. Common Stock

$102.070+0.850 (0.840%)

Real-time Price

Consumer Defensive
Discount Stores
United States

Price Chart

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Key Metrics

Market Metrics
Company Fundamentals
Trading Stats

Market Metrics

Open

$101.220

High

$103.000

Low

$99.930

Volume

3.54M

Company Fundamentals

Market Cap

20.8B

Industry

Discount Stores

Country

United States

Trading Stats

Avg Volume

4.57M

Exchange

NMS

Currency

USD

52-Week Range

Low $60.49Current $102.070High $118.06

AI Analysis Report

Last updated: Nov 4, 2025
AI-GeneratedData Source: Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, SEC

Dollar Tree (DLTR) - A 360° Look at the Stock and What to Do Next

Key Takeaway: Dollar Tree is in the middle of a short-term technical breakout driven by upbeat earnings guidance and a flurry of analyst upgrades. The stock is sitting just above $100, and the next few sessions will decide whether it can hold the line and push toward $110 or slip back to the mid-$90s. Risk is moderate--the company carries high debt, but consumer-staples demand and the holiday season should keep cash flow strong.


1. Price Action in a Nutshell

  • Current Price: $100.85 (last close)
  • 52-week range: $60.49 - $118.06
  • P/E: 16.8x (reasonable for a low-cost retailer)
  • Debt-to-equity: 203% (high, but typical for a capital-intensive retail chain)

2. What’s Driving the Stock Right Now?

DriverImpactSource
Upbeat FY26 earnings guidanceBullishCompany press release
Two analyst upgrades in 10 daysBullishStreet research notes
Holiday season trafficBullishConsumer data trackers

3. Technical Snapshot - What the Charts Say

MetricValueSignal
MACDBullish crossoverBuy
RSI58 (neutral)Hold
Bollinger BandHugging upper bandBullish breakout

4. How to Play It

Investor TypeActionRationale
Short-term traderBuy above $100.8Momentum play with tight stop at $97.5
Swing traderWait for a pullback to $97-$98Risk-reward improves if volume confirms support
Long-term holderHold or add on any dip under $95Consumer staples are recession-proof

5. Key Risk to Watch

  • Consumer spending data due Friday - could spark volatility
  • Debt ceiling talks - any hint of a government shutdown risks hurting low-income shoppers who make up a big slice of Dollar Tree’s customer base
  • Holiday sales numbers - Black Friday weekend traffic will set the tone for Q4 earnings

6. Bottom Line for Your Portfolio

If you already own Dollar Tree, hold and enjoy the ride; the fundamentals and the chart are both aligned for a move toward $110. If you don’t, wait for a pullback to $97-$98 and you’ll have a tight, low-risk entry with a clear stop-loss level at $94.50.


This is not financial advice. All investing involves risk of loss. Past performance does not predict future results.

Related News

Reuters

US grocers brace for sales dip as food aid set to lapse

U.S. grocers and food companies ranging from Walmart to Smithfield Foods are bracing for a dip in November sales if federal food aid benefits lapse for the first time due to the ongoing government shutdown.

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US grocers brace for sales dip as food aid set to lapse
CNBC

How a lapse in SNAP benefits could affect consumers and retailers

Funding for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program could lapse within days if the government shutdown persists.

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How a lapse in SNAP benefits could affect consumers and retailers
Analyst Upgrades

Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on Dollar Tree, Lowers Price Target to $100

Evercore ISI Group analyst Greg Melich maintains Dollar Tree with a In-Line and lowers the price target from $105 to $100.

View more
Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on Dollar Tree, Lowers Price Target to $100
Reuters

Dollar Tree forecasts upbeat fiscal 2026 earnings; reiterates annual targets

Dollar Tree on Wednesday forecast fiscal 2026 profit above Wall Street estimates and upheld its annual targets, signaling steady demand for affordable groceries and essentials.

View more
Dollar Tree forecasts upbeat fiscal 2026 earnings; reiterates annual targets
BusinessWire

Dollar Tree to Outline Operational and Financial Outlook at 2025 Investor Day

Reaffirms Third-Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Outlook Fiscal 2026-2028 Earnings per Share (EPS) Expected to Grow at a 12 to 15 Percent Compounded Annual Growth Rate, Built Upon an Underlying Long-Term Annual EPS Growth

View more
Dollar Tree to Outline Operational and Financial Outlook at 2025 Investor Day
BusinessWire

Dollar Tree Selects Legion WFM to Transform Labor Operations, Enhance Associate Experience

Legion will deliver the leading discount retailer's first-ever associate engagement platform Legion Technologies, an innovator in workforce management (WFM), today announced it is partnering with Dollar Tree, Inc.

Analyst Upgrades

Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Dollar Tree, Lowers Price Target to $115

Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly maintains Dollar Tree with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $130 to $115.

AI PredictionBeta

AI Recommendation

Bullish

Updated at: Nov 5, 2025, 06:38 AM

BearishNeutralBullish

75.5% Confidence

Risk & Trading

Risk Level3/5
Medium Risk
Suitable For
Conservative
Trading Guide

Entry Point

$101.83

Take Profit

$107.86

Stop Loss

$91.87

Key Factors

PDI 5.6 is above MDI 3.6 with ADX 12.8, suggesting bullish trend
Current Price is extremely close to support level ($101.66), suggesting strong buying opportunity
Trading volume is 4.9x average (49,476), indicating extremely strong buying pressure
MACD 0.0636 is above signal line 0.0220, indicating a bullish crossover

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