DLTR

DLTR

USD

Dollar Tree Inc. Common Stock

$102.070+0.850 (0.840%)

リアルタイム価格

Consumer Defensive
Discount Stores
米国

価格チャート

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主要指標

市場指標
企業ファンダメンタルズ
取引統計

市場指標

始値

$101.220

高値

$103.000

安値

$99.930

出来高

3.54M

企業ファンダメンタルズ

時価総額

20.8B

業種

Discount Stores

United States

取引統計

平均出来高

4.57M

取引所

NMS

通貨

USD

52週レンジ

安値 $60.49現在値 $102.070高値 $118.06

AI分析レポート

最終更新: 2025年11月4日
AIによる生成データソース: Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, SEC

Dollar Tree (DLTR) - A 360° Look at the Stock and What to Do Next

Key Takeaway: Dollar Tree is in the middle of a short-term technical breakout driven by upbeat earnings guidance and a flurry of analyst upgrades. The stock is sitting just above $100, and the next few sessions will decide whether it can hold the line and push toward $110 or slip back to the mid-$90s. Risk is moderate--the company carries high debt, but consumer-staples demand and the holiday season should keep cash flow strong.


1. Price Action in a Nutshell

  • Current Price: $100.85 (last close)
  • 52-week range: $60.49 - $118.06
  • P/E: 16.8x (reasonable for a low-cost retailer)
  • Debt-to-equity: 203% (high, but typical for a capital-intensive retail chain)

2. What’s Driving the Stock Right Now?

DriverImpactSource
Upbeat FY26 earnings guidanceBullishCompany press release
Two analyst upgrades in 10 daysBullishStreet research notes
Holiday season trafficBullishConsumer data trackers

3. Technical Snapshot - What the Charts Say

MetricValueSignal
MACDBullish crossoverBuy
RSI58 (neutral)Hold
Bollinger BandHugging upper bandBullish breakout

4. How to Play It

Investor TypeActionRationale
Short-term traderBuy above $100.8Momentum play with tight stop at $97.5
Swing traderWait for a pullback to $97-$98Risk-reward improves if volume confirms support
Long-term holderHold or add on any dip under $95Consumer staples are recession-proof

5. Key Risk to Watch

  • Consumer spending data due Friday - could spark volatility
  • Debt ceiling talks - any hint of a government shutdown risks hurting low-income shoppers who make up a big slice of Dollar Tree’s customer base
  • Holiday sales numbers - Black Friday weekend traffic will set the tone for Q4 earnings

6. Bottom Line for Your Portfolio

If you already own Dollar Tree, hold and enjoy the ride; the fundamentals and the chart are both aligned for a move toward $110. If you don’t, wait for a pullback to $97-$98 and you’ll have a tight, low-risk entry with a clear stop-loss level at $94.50.


This is not financial advice. All investing involves risk of loss. Past performance does not predict future results.

関連ニュース

Reuters

US grocers brace for sales dip as food aid set to lapse

U.S. grocers and food companies ranging from Walmart to Smithfield Foods are bracing for a dip in November sales if federal food aid benefits lapse for the first time due to the ongoing government shutdown.

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US grocers brace for sales dip as food aid set to lapse
CNBC

How a lapse in SNAP benefits could affect consumers and retailers

Funding for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program could lapse within days if the government shutdown persists.

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How a lapse in SNAP benefits could affect consumers and retailers
Analyst Upgrades

Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on Dollar Tree, Lowers Price Target to $100

Evercore ISI Group analyst Greg Melich maintains Dollar Tree with a In-Line and lowers the price target from $105 to $100.

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Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on Dollar Tree, Lowers Price Target to $100
Reuters

Dollar Tree forecasts upbeat fiscal 2026 earnings; reiterates annual targets

Dollar Tree on Wednesday forecast fiscal 2026 profit above Wall Street estimates and upheld its annual targets, signaling steady demand for affordable groceries and essentials.

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Dollar Tree forecasts upbeat fiscal 2026 earnings; reiterates annual targets
BusinessWire

Dollar Tree to Outline Operational and Financial Outlook at 2025 Investor Day

Reaffirms Third-Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Outlook Fiscal 2026-2028 Earnings per Share (EPS) Expected to Grow at a 12 to 15 Percent Compounded Annual Growth Rate, Built Upon an Underlying Long-Term Annual EPS Growth

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Dollar Tree to Outline Operational and Financial Outlook at 2025 Investor Day
BusinessWire

Dollar Tree Selects Legion WFM to Transform Labor Operations, Enhance Associate Experience

Legion will deliver the leading discount retailer's first-ever associate engagement platform Legion Technologies, an innovator in workforce management (WFM), today announced it is partnering with Dollar Tree, Inc.

Analyst Upgrades

Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Dollar Tree, Lowers Price Target to $115

Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly maintains Dollar Tree with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $130 to $115.

AI予測Beta

AI推奨

強気

更新日時: 2025年11月5日 06:38

弱気中立強気

75.5% 信頼度

リスクと取引

リスクレベル3/5
中リスク
適しているのは
保守的
取引ガイド

エントリーポイント

$101.83

利確

$107.86

損切り

$91.87

主要因子

PDI 5.6はMDI 3.6の上にあり、ADX 12.8とともに強気トレンドを示唆しています
現在の価格はサポートレベル(101.66ドル)に非常に接近しており、強力な買い機会を示唆しています
出来高は平均(49,476)の4.9倍で、極めて強い買い圧力を示しています
MACD 0.0636はシグナルライン0.0220の上にあり、強気クロスオーバーを示しています

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